Lerolino, msika wapadziko lonse wa mafuta amafuta akuda nkhawa kwambiri ndi msonkhano wa federal reserve pa July 25. Pa July 21 bernanke, tcheyamani wa federal reserve, anati: “odyetsedwa adzakweza chiwongola dzanja cha mfundo 25 pamsonkhano wotsatira, imene ingakhale komaliza mu July.” Ndipotu, izi zikugwirizana ndi zoyembekeza za msika, ndipo mwayi wa 25 maziko a kuwonjezeka kwa chiwongoladzanja chawonjezeka kufika ku 99.6%, makamaka kugwirizana kwa msomali.

Mndandanda wa Fed rate hike progress

Kuyambira pa Marichi 2022, Federal Reserve yakweza chiwongola dzanja ka 10 motsatizana yapeza mfundo 500, ndipo kuyambira Juni mpaka Novembala chaka chatha, zinayi motsatizana ziwonjezeke chiwongola dzanja cha 75 maziko, panthawiyi, index ya dollar idakwera 9% , pomwe mitengo yamafuta a WTI idatsika ndi 10.5%. Ndondomeko yokwera mtengo ya chaka chino ndi yochepa kwambiri, kuyambira pa July 20, chiwerengero cha dola 100.78, chotsika ndi 3.58% kuyambira kumayambiriro kwa chaka, chakhala chotsika kusiyana ndi chiwerengero chisanafike chaka chatha. Malingana ndi momwe ndondomeko ya dola imagwirira ntchito mlungu uliwonse, ndondomekoyi yakhala ikulimba m'masiku awiri apitawa kuti ipezenso 100+.

Pankhani ya inflation deta, cpi inagwera ku 3% mu June, 11th inatsika mu March, yotsika kwambiri kuyambira March 2021. Yatsika kuchokera ku 9.1% yapamwamba kupita ku dziko lofunika kwambiri chaka chatha, ndipo fed ikupitiriza kulimbitsa ndalama. ndondomeko ndithudi anaziziritsa kutenthedwa chuma, nchifukwa chake msika mobwerezabwereza amanena kuti kudyetsedwa posachedwapa kusiya kukweza chiwongola dzanja.

Mlozera wamtengo wapatali wa PCE, womwe umachotsa ndalama za chakudya ndi mphamvu, ndiye Fed yomwe imakonda kwambiri kukwera kwa inflation chifukwa akuluakulu a Fed amawona PCE yaikulu ngati yoyimira kwambiri zomwe zikuchitika. Mndandanda wamtengo wapatali wa PCE ku United States unalemba chiwerengero cha pachaka cha 4.6 peresenti mu May, akadali pamlingo wapamwamba kwambiri, ndipo kukula kwake kunali kwakukulu kwambiri kuyambira January chaka chino. Bungwe la Fed likukumanabe ndi zovuta zinayi: kutsika koyambira kukwera mtengo koyamba, kutsika kwachuma kuposa momwe amayembekezera, kukula kwachuma, komanso kusintha kwa kagwiritsidwe ntchito ndi kagwiritsidwe ntchito chifukwa cha mliri. Ndipo msika wa ntchito udakali wotenthedwa, ndipo a Fed adzafuna kuwona kuchuluka kwa zofunikila pamsika wantchito kukuyenda bwino asanalengeze kupambana polimbana ndi kukwera kwa mitengo. Ndicho chifukwa chimodzi chomwe Fed sichinasiye kukweza mitengo pakadali pano.

Tsopano kuti chiwopsezo cha kugwa kwachuma ku United States chatsika kwambiri, msika ukuyembekeza kuti kutsika kwachuma kukhale kocheperako, ndipo msika ukugawira chuma kuti ukhale wofewa. Msonkhano wa chiwongola dzanja cha Federal Reserve pa Julayi 26 upitiliza kuyang'ana kwambiri za kuthekera komwe kulipo kwa kukwera kwamitengo ya 25, zomwe zidzakulitsa index ya dollar ndikuletsa mitengo yamafuta.