Masiku ano, msika wamafuta osakonzedwa padziko lonse lapansi ukuda nkhawa kwambiri ndi msonkhano wa boma losungira mafuta pa Julayi 25. Pa Julayi 21, bernanke, wapampando wa boma losungira mafuta, anati: "fed idzakweza chiwongola dzanja cha ma basis points 25 pamsonkhano wotsatira, womwe ukhoza kukhala nthawi yomaliza mu Julayi." Ndipotu, izi zikugwirizana ndi zomwe msika ukuyembekezera, ndipo mwayi woti chiwongola dzanja chiwonjezeke ndi ma basis points 25 wakwera kufika pa 99.6%, makamaka chifukwa cha msomali.

Mndandanda wa akatswiri okweza mitengo ya Fedgress

Kuyambira mu Marichi 2022, Federal Reserve yakweza chiwongola dzanja ka 10 motsatizana ndipo yasonkhanitsa mapointi 500, ndipo kuyambira Juni mpaka Novembala chaka chatha, chiwongola dzanja champhamvu chinakwera kangapo motsatizana ndi mapointi 75, panthawiyi, chiwongola dzanja cha dola chinakwera ndi 9%, pomwe mitengo ya mafuta osaphika a WTI inatsika ndi 10.5%. Njira yokwezera chiwongola dzanja chaka chino ndi yochepa, kuyambira pa Julayi 20, chiwongola dzanja cha dola 100.78, chomwe chinatsika ndi 3.58% kuyambira pachiyambi cha chaka, chakhala chotsika kuposa momwe chinalili chaka chatha chisanafike chiwongola dzanja champhamvu. Kuchokera pakuwona momwe chiwongola dzanja cha dola chikuyendera sabata iliyonse, izi zakula kwambiri masiku awiri apitawa kuti zibwererenso 100+.

Ponena za kuchuluka kwa mitengo ya zinthu, cpi inatsika kufika pa 3% mu June, kutsika kwa 11 mu March, komwe kunali kotsika kwambiri kuyambira March 2021. Yatsika kuchoka pa 9.1% kufika pamlingo wabwino kwambiri chaka chatha, ndipo kupitirizabe kukakamiza mfundo zachuma kwa fed kwaziziritsa chuma chomwe chikupitirirabe, ndichifukwa chake msika wakhala ukuganizira mobwerezabwereza kuti fed posachedwa idzasiya kukweza chiwongola dzanja.

Chizindikiro chachikulu cha mitengo ya PCE, chomwe chimachotsa ndalama zogulira chakudya ndi mphamvu, ndiye muyeso wokonda kwambiri wa kukwera kwa mitengo chifukwa akuluakulu a Fed amaona kuti PCE yayikulu ndi yoyimira kwambiri zomwe zikuchitika. Chizindikiro chachikulu cha mitengo ya PCE ku United States chinalemba chiwongola dzanja cha 4.6 peresenti pachaka mu Meyi, chikadali pamlingo wapamwamba kwambiri, ndipo chiwongola dzanja cha kukula chinali chapamwamba kwambiri kuyambira Januwale chaka chino. Fed ikadali ndi mavuto anayi: poyambira pang'ono kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja choyamba, mikhalidwe yazachuma yocheperako kuposa momwe imayembekezeredwa, kukula kwa chilimbikitso chandalama, ndi kusintha kwa ndalama ndi kagwiritsidwe ntchito chifukwa cha mliriwu. Ndipo msika wantchito ukadali wotentha kwambiri, ndipo Fed idzafuna kuwona bwino lomwe kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zikufunidwa pamsika wantchito kukukula isanalengeze kupambana polimbana ndi kukwera kwa mitengo. Chifukwa chake ndicho chifukwa chimodzi chomwe Fed sinasiye kukweza mitengo pakadali pano.

Tsopano popeza chiopsezo cha kuchepa kwa chuma ku United States chatsika kwambiri, msika ukuyembekeza kuti kuchepa kwa chuma kukhale kochepa, ndipo msika ukugawa katundu kuti ufike pang'onopang'ono. Msonkhano wa chiwongola dzanja wa Federal Reserve pa Julayi 26 upitiliza kuyang'ana kwambiri kuthekera kwa kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja cha 25 basis point, komwe kudzakweza chiŵerengero cha dola ndikuchepetsa mitengo yamafuta.