Msika ukupitiriza kukayikira kukhazikitsidwa kwa OPEC + kuchepetsa kupanga mwaufulu, ndipo mitengo yamafuta padziko lonse yatsika kwa masiku asanu ndi limodzi otsatizana, koma kuchepa kwachepa. Pofika pa Disembala 7, mafuta a WTI amtsogolo $69.34 / mbiya, tsogolo lamafuta a Brent $74.05 / mbiya, onse adatsika kwambiri kuyambira Juni 28.

Mitengo yamafuta amafuta padziko lonse lapansi idatsika kwambiri sabata ino, kuyambira pa Disembala 7, tsogolo lamafuta a WTI latsika ndi 10.94% kuyambira Novembara 29, tsogolo lamafuta a Brent latsika ndi 10.89% nthawi yomweyo. Pambuyo pa msonkhano wa OPEC +, kukayikira kwa msika pakuchepetsa kupanga modzifunira kunapitilirabe, zomwe zidakhala chinthu chachikulu chomwe chikulemetsa mitengo yamafuta. Chachiwiri, katundu wa zinthu zoyengedwa bwino ku United States akuchulukirachulukira, ndipo mmene mafuta akukhudzidwira akuchulukirachulukira, zomwe zikuchititsa kuti mitengo ya mafuta ikhale yovuta. Kuphatikiza apo, pa Disembala 7, United States idatulutsa zidziwitso zosakanikirana zachuma, China Customs idatulutsa zotuluka zamafuta osakanizika ndi zina zofananira, kuwunika kwachuma kwapadziko lonse lapansi komanso magwiridwe antchito komanso kufunika, kusamala kwakula. Makamaka:

Chiwerengero cha anthu aku America omwe amalandila ndalama zothandizira anthu osowa ntchito chinakwera pang'ono kuposa momwe amayembekezera sabata yatha pomwe kufunikira kwa ntchito kudatsika ndipo msika wantchito ukupitilirabe pang'onopang'ono. Zodandaula zoyamba za phindu la kusowa kwa ntchito za boma zinakwera 1,000 kufika pa 220,000 zomwe zinasinthidwa nyengo mu sabata latha Dec. 2, deta ya Dipatimenti ya Ntchito inasonyeza Lachinayi. Izi zikusonyeza kuti msika wantchito ukuchepa. Lipotilo linasonyeza kuti panali mwayi wa ntchito 1.34 kwa munthu aliyense wosagwira ntchito mu October, mlingo wotsika kwambiri kuyambira August 2021. Kufuna kwa anthu ogwira ntchito kukuzizira pamodzi ndi chuma, chochepetsedwa ndi kukwera kwa chiwongoladzanja. Choncho, kuneneratu kwa Fed za kutha kwa chiwongoladzanja ichi chakukwera kwa chiwongoladzanja kwayambiranso mumsika wa zachuma, ndipo mwayi wosakweza chiwongoladzanja mu December ndi woposa 97%, ndipo zotsatira za kukwera kwa chiwongoladzanja pamtengo wamafuta zachepa. . Koma panthawi imodzimodziyo, nkhawa za chuma cha US ndi kuchepa kwa kufunikira kunachepetsanso chikhalidwe cha malonda pamsika wamtsogolo.

Zambiri zaposachedwa za EIA zomwe zatulutsidwa sabata ino zikuwonetsa kuti ngakhale zida zamafuta aku US zatsika, mafuta a Cushing, petulo, ndi ma distillates onse ali pamalo osungira. Mu sabata la Disembala 1, Cushing mafuta opangira mafuta a migolo ya 29.551 miliyoni, chiwonjezeko cha 6.60% kuchokera sabata yatha, kukwera kwa milungu 7 motsatizana. Mafuta amafuta adakwera kwa milungu itatu yowongoka mpaka migolo ya 223.604 miliyoni, kukwera migolo 5.42 miliyoni kuyambira sabata yatha, pomwe zotuluka kunja zidakwera ndikutsika. Masheya a distillate adakwera kwa sabata yachiwiri yowongoka kufika ku migolo ya 1120.45 miliyoni, mpaka migolo ya 1.27 miliyoni kuyambira sabata yapitayi, pamene kupanga kunakwera ndi kuitanitsa kunja kukuwonjezeka. Kusowa kwamafuta kosakwanira kumadetsa nkhawa msika, mitengo yamafuta padziko lonse lapansi ikupitilira kutsika.

Kenako msika wotsatira wamafuta osakhazikika, mbali yoperekera: kuchititsa msonkhano wa OPEC + ndi lupanga lakuthwa konsekonse, ngakhale palibe kukwezedwa kowonekera bwino, koma zopinga zomwe zili kumbali yoperekera zidakalipo. Pakalipano, Saudi Arabia, Russia ndi Algeria ali ndi mawu abwino, akuyesera kuti asinthe malingaliro a bearish, zomwe zimatsatira msika zikuwonekerabe, ndondomeko yowonjezereka yoperekera sinasinthe; Chofunikira chonse ndi choyipa, ndizovuta kusintha kwambiri pakanthawi kochepa, ndipo kufunikira kwa zinthu zamafuta m'nyengo yozizira kukuyembekezeka kukhalabe kotsika. Kuphatikiza apo, Saudi Arabia idadula mitengo yogulitsa mderali, kuwonetsa kusadalira momwe akufunira aku Asia. Pakalipano, mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa mafuta padziko lonse wakhala pafupi ndi malo otsika kwambiri kumapeto kwa chaka cha 71.84 madola US / mbiya pambuyo pa kuchepa kosalekeza, malo otsika kwambiri a Brent ali pafupi ndi madola a 72 US, kasanu chaka chisanafike mpaka pano. kubwereranso. Chifukwa chake, mitengo yamafuta ikupitilira kutsika kapena kuchepera, pali mwayi wobwereranso. Pambuyo pakutsika kosalekeza kwamitengo yamafuta, opanga mafuta awonetsa kuthandizira msika, ndipo OPEC + sikuletsa njira zatsopano zokhazikitsira msika, ndipo mitengo yamafuta ili ndi mwayi wotsitsa.